Potiguar . Final
Global 2-1
América RN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
POT
2 - 3
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
ARN
14%
22%
65%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
ARN
15%
19%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
4 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |