América RN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACD
2 - 2
ARN
9%
17%
75%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEC
2 - 4
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ARN
1 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ABC
2 - 2
SGO
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ABC
3 - 1
ACD
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ALE
1 - 3
ABC
28%
24%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ABC
4 - 0
REC
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CRB
3 - 2
ABC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |