América RN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
ARN
0 - 1
NAU
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
AMF
5 - 1
ARN
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
ARN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARN
34%
28%
37%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARN
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 2
CRZ
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 1
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
0 - 2
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
ABC
2 - 2
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
ABC
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |