América RJ vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 0
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
AME
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 0
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 4
RES
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
FLA
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VAS
3 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
VOL
83%
13%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 1
VAS
17%
22%
62%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 2
VAS
12%
22%
67%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |