América RJ vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
BON
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BON
1 - 2
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
GOY
1 - 2
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
GOY
51%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |