América RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
CAB
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
AME
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FRI
2 - 5
CAB
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
FRI
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FRI
0 - 1
NOV
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 2
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |