América RJ vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ATM
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
AME
6 - 1
MIX
72%
17%
12%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
BRA
1 - 1
AME
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
AME
4 - 1
FRA
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1979 |
AME
0 - 1
CAM
83%
12%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
COT
2 - 1
FRA
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
COT
1 - 0
CEC
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
COT
62%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1979 |
COT
5 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
BRA
0 - 1
COT
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |