América RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FRI
0 - 2
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AME
4 - 4
RES
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
BON
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BON
1 - 0
VRE
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
OLA
1 - 1
BON
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BON
2 - 1
CFZ
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
4 - 2
BON
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |