América RJ vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 2
AME
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SCI
1 - 1
AME
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
AME
1 - 0
FFL
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
ATP
1 - 0
GRE
27%
31%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATP
51%
27%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
ATP
0 - 1
SAN
30%
30%
41%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
58%
25%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
RIO
1 - 1
ATP
23%
29%
49%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |