América Quito vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
25%
30%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 4
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
PQU
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
AME
4 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 3
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
INJ
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 1
INJ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
INJ
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |