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Serie B - Ecuador. Matchday 28

América Quito vs Cumbayá analysis

América Quito Cumbayá
25 ELO 25
-16% Tilt 6%
5907º General ELO ranking 6017º
20º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
37.3%
América Quito
28.8%
Draw
33.9%
Cumbayá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
América Quito
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.9%
Win probability
Cumbayá
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América Quito
-19%
+9%
Cumbayá

Basic stats

2
2
GF
2
2
GC
25
25
ELO
1.2
1.1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

América Quito
Their league position
Cumbayá
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cumbayá
67
67
100%
Gualaceo
60
60
100%
CD El Nacional
59
59
100%
Chacaritas
49
49
100%
América Quito
47
47
50%
Guayaquil SC
47
47
50%
Independiente Juniors
43
43
100%
Atlético Santo Domingo
42
42
100%
Atlético Porteño
39
39
100%
LDU de Portoviejo
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
América Quito
Cumbayá
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

América Quito
AME
Cumbayá
CFC
CD El Nacional
NAC
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
Atlético Santo Domingo
PQU
Atlético Porteño
POR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América Quito
América Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO AME ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2021
INJ
Independiente Juniors
1 - 2
América Quito
AME
45%
27%
28%
315 319 4 +2
04 Aug. 2021
AME
América Quito
2 - 0
Guayaquil SC
GUA
45%
27%
28%
313 297 16 +2
28 Jul. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
1 - 0
América Quito
AME
46%
27%
27%
315 285 -30 -2
23 Jul. 2021
AME
América Quito
1 - 1
CD El Nacional
NAC
39%
28%
33%
314 509 -195 0
17 Jul. 2021
PQU
Atlético Santo Domingo
0 - 2
América Quito
AME
46%
27%
27%
312 282 -30 +2

Matches

Cumbayá
Cumbayá
1%
X%
2%
ELO CFC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
2 - 0
Atlético Porteño
POR
47%
27%
26%
318 285 33 +2
03 Aug. 2021
CHA
Chacaritas
0 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
27%
316 298 -18 +2
28 Jul. 2021
INJ
Independiente Juniors
0 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
45%
27%
28%
315 322 7 +2
22 Jul. 2021
CFC
Cumbayá
2 - 1
Gualaceo
GUA
47%
27%
26%
313 286 27 +1
18 Jul. 2021
GUA
Guayaquil SC
1 - 2
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
27%
312 301 -11 +2