América Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
AME
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
INJ
0 - 3
AME
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AME
3 - 0
PQU
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ORE
1 - 0
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EME
3 - 0
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |