noscript image

Serie B - Ecuador. Matchday 33

América Quito vs Gualaceo analysis

América Quito Gualaceo
25 ELO 22
-1% Tilt 9%
4265º General ELO ranking 4710º
17º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
44.4%
América Quito
26.6%
Draw
29%
Gualaceo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
América Quito
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29%
Win probability
Gualaceo
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América Quito
-4%
+7%
Gualaceo

Points and table prediction

América Quito
Their league position
Gualaceo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cumbayá
67
67
100%
Gualaceo
60
60
100%
CD El Nacional
59
59
100%
Chacaritas
49
49
100%
América Quito
47
47
50%
Búhos ULVR
47
47
50%
Independiente Juniors
43
43
100%
Atlético Santo Domingo
42
42
100%
Atlético Porteño
39
39
100%
LDU de Portoviejo
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
América Quito
Gualaceo
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gualaceo
GUA
América Quito
AME
LDU de Portoviejo
LDU
Búhos ULVR
GUA
Chacaritas
CHA
Independiente Juniors
INJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América Quito
América Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO AME ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2021
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 4
América Quito
AME
53%
25%
22%
319 511 192 +3
08 Sep. 2021
AME
América Quito
1 - 1
Atlético Santo Domingo
PQU
47%
27%
26%
319 282 37 0
01 Sep. 2021
AME
América Quito
4 - 1
Atlético Porteño
POR
47%
27%
26%
317 280 37 +3
25 Aug. 2021
LDU
LDU de Portoviejo
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
45%
27%
28%
317 265 -52 0
19 Aug. 2021
AME
América Quito
2 - 2
Cumbayá
CFC
45%
27%
28%
317 320 -3 0

Matches

Gualaceo
Gualaceo
1%
X%
2%
ELO GUA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
3 - 1
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
27%
292 320 -28 +2
08 Sep. 2021
POR
Atlético Porteño
0 - 1
Gualaceo
GUA
46%
27%
27%
291 277 -14 +2
01 Sep. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
0 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
45%
27%
28%
292 299 -7 -2
26 Aug. 2021
GUA
Búhos ULVR
0 - 2
Gualaceo
GUA
45%
27%
28%
290 292 2 +2
18 Aug. 2021
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
46%
27%
27%
288 317 -29 +2