América PE vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AME
0 - 2
PES
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
YPI
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
VCR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
0 - 6
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
0 - 1
VCR
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 2
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 0
PES
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |