Série D Brazil . Jor. 5

América PE vs América RN analysis

América PE América RN
33 ELO 48
-15.2% Tilt -9.4%
23189º General ELO ranking 2226º
655º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
13.7%
América PE
22.4%
Draw
63.9%
América RN

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
América PE
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
63.8%
Win probability
América RN
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

América PE
América RN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América PE
América PE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2019
AME
América PE
1 - 0
Serrano PB
SPB
61%
20%
19%
31 24 7 0
19 May. 2019
SPB
Serrano PB
1 - 5
América PE
AME
47%
22%
31%
29 26 3 +2
11 May. 2019
ARN
América RN
4 - 0
América PE
AME
87%
10%
3%
30 48 18 -1
05 May. 2019
AME
América PE
1 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
7%
18%
75%
29 51 22 +1
17 Mar. 2019
FEC
Flamengo Arcoverde
2 - 1
América PE
AME
38%
24%
39%
31 28 3 -2

Matches

América RN
América RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2019
BAH
Bahia de Feira
1 - 2
América RN
ARN
52%
26%
22%
48 50 2 0
18 May. 2019
ARN
América RN
0 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
45%
26%
29%
48 50 2 0
11 May. 2019
ARN
América RN
4 - 0
América PE
AME
87%
10%
3%
48 30 18 0
04 May. 2019
SPB
Serrano PB
0 - 6
América RN
ARN
17%
24%
59%
48 31 17 0
25 Apr. 2019
ARN
América RN
2 - 1
ABC
ABC
29%
24%
47%
47 55 8 +1
X