América Mineiro vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
AMF
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
IFC
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 2
AMF
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 0
FFL
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
COT
1 - 1
AMF
67%
22%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 3
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 4
BAH
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |