América Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 2
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
AMF
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CUI
2 - 1
AMF
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 0
COR
38%
29%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 1
FOR
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 2
FLA
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOR
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |