América Mineiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AMF
0 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
AMF
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
AMF
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 2
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 2
COT
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEA
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |