América Mineiro vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
FLU
0 - 0
AMF
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
AMF
2 - 0
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1971 |
AMF
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1971 |
VAS
2 - 0
AMF
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 1
FLA
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 1
AME
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
BAH
3 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
1 - 0
BOT
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
CEA
0 - 0
SAN
22%
22%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |