América de Cali vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
AME
3 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
TOL
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOL
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
TOL
23%
25%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PER
2 - 2
TOL
20%
25%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |