Clausura Playoffs Cuadrangular. Jor. 4

América de Cali vs Alianza FC analysis

América de Cali Alianza FC
74 ELO 64
-11.1% Tilt -2.7%
347º General ELO ranking 562º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
54.9%
América de Cali
23.8%
Draw
21.4%
Alianza FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
América de Cali
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
Alianza FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América de Cali
-4%
-15%
Alianza FC

ELO progression

América de Cali
Alianza FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América de Cali
América de Cali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 1
América de Cali
AME
30%
25%
45%
74 64 10 0
03 Dec. 2021
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
América de Cali
AME
49%
26%
25%
74 80 6 0
29 Nov. 2021
AME
América de Cali
2 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
28%
26%
46%
74 81 7 0
21 Nov. 2021
PER
Deportivo Pereira
1 - 5
América de Cali
AME
36%
29%
35%
73 72 1 +1
14 Nov. 2021
AME
América de Cali
3 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
46%
28%
26%
73 69 4 0

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
2 - 1
América de Cali
AME
30%
25%
45%
64 74 10 0
03 Dec. 2021
MIL
Millonarios
3 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
71%
18%
11%
65 81 16 -1
29 Nov. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 4
Deportes Tolima
TOL
31%
27%
42%
65 79 14 0
21 Nov. 2021
ALI
Alianza FC
1 - 1
Junior
JUN
25%
27%
48%
65 79 14 0
15 Nov. 2021
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
70%
19%
11%
65 80 15 0
X