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South African First Division. Matchday 4

AmaZulu vs Baroka analysis

AmaZulu Baroka
49 ELO 51
-20% Tilt 0%
1782º General ELO ranking 1448º
13º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
37.3%
AmaZulu
29.6%
Draw
33.1%
Baroka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
AmaZulu
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
33.1%
Win probability
Baroka
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

50
50
POS
1
0
SOT
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
49
51
ELO
1.1
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

AmaZulu
Their league position
Baroka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
16º
7
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected probabilities
AmaZulu
Baroka