Amazonas FC vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amazonas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
AFC
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
AFC
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
AFC
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |