National Soccer round 13

Amagaju vs Marines FC analysis

Amagaju Marines FC
37 ELO 37
-21% Tilt -13.2%
5555º General ELO ranking 5787º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
39.5%
Amagaju
25.6%
Draw
34.8%
Marines FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Amagaju
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
Marines FC
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Amagaju
-26%
-27%
Marines FC

ELO progression

Amagaju
Marines FC
Rayon Sport
Mukura Victory
Bugesera
Muhazi United FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amagaju
Amagaju
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
MUK
Mukura Victory
1 - 0
Amagaju
AMA
48%
24%
28%
37 38 1 0
29 Nov. 2024
POL
Police FC
0 - 1
Amagaju
AMA
58%
21%
21%
36 39 3 +1
24 Nov. 2024
AMA
Amagaju
1 - 2
AS Kigali
ASK
38%
29%
33%
37 40 3 -1
06 Nov. 2024
MFC
Muhazi United FC
3 - 0
Amagaju
AMA
29%
23%
48%
38 30 8 -1
02 Nov. 2024
AMA
Amagaju
3 - 1
Vision FC
VFC
67%
19%
14%
38 20 18 0

Matches

Marines FC
Marines FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
1 - 1
Rutsiro
RFC
48%
23%
30%
38 38 0 0
30 Nov. 2024
MUK
Mukura Victory
1 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
48%
24%
28%
37 38 1 +1
23 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
0 - 1
Police FC
POL
48%
26%
27%
38 38 0 -1
06 Nov. 2024
ASK
AS Kigali
1 - 2
Marines FC
MAR
52%
25%
23%
37 40 3 +1
03 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
2 - 1
Muhazi United FC
MFC
59%
21%
21%
37 31 6 0