Segunda RFEF Grupo 3. Jor. 29

UD Alzira vs Hércules analysis

UD Alzira Hércules
48 ELO 53
-13.6% Tilt -5.2%
4039º General ELO ranking 3226º
118º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
34.7%
UD Alzira
28.9%
Draw
36.3%
Hércules

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
UD Alzira
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.3%
Win probability
Hércules
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Alzira
+23%
+33%
Hércules

Points and table prediction

UD Alzira
Their league position
Hércules
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
17º
65
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hércules
65
65
100%
CE Europa
63
63
100%
CF Badalona Futur
59
59
100%
UE Sant Andreu
58
58
0%
Lleida Esportiu
58
58
0%
Terrassa FC
50
50
100%
Torrent
49
49
100%
Espanyol B
46
46
100%
UD Alzira
46
46
100%
Peña Deportiva
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Valencia Mestalla
11º
44
44
11º
0%
SD Formentera
13º
44
44
12º
0%
Andratx
12º
44
44
13º
0%
At. Saguntino
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Cerdanyola FC
15º
37
37
15º
100%
Penya Independent
16º
34
34
16º
100%
CE Manresa
17º
27
27
17º
100%
CF La Nucía
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
UD Alzira
Hércules
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

UD Alzira
Hércules
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Alzira
UD Alzira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
EUR
CE Europa
0 - 0
UD Alzira
ALZ
54%
24%
22%
48 52 4 0
16 Mar. 2024
ALZ
UD Alzira
1 - 0
Cerdanyola FC
CER
49%
26%
26%
48 45 3 0
10 Mar. 2024
PIN
Penya Independent
2 - 1
UD Alzira
ALZ
25%
25%
51%
49 39 10 -1
03 Mar. 2024
ALZ
UD Alzira
2 - 2
Andratx
AND
47%
25%
28%
49 46 3 0
25 Feb. 2024
UES
UE Sant Andreu
3 - 0
UD Alzira
ALZ
48%
25%
27%
50 52 2 -1

Matches

Hércules
Hércules
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
HER
Hércules
1 - 1
Terrassa FC
TER
46%
27%
28%
53 52 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
NUC
CF La Nucía
0 - 0
Hércules
HER
22%
28%
50%
53 42 11 0
10 Mar. 2024
HER
Hércules
0 - 0
Valencia Mestalla
VAL
52%
25%
23%
53 49 4 0
03 Mar. 2024
HER
Hércules
0 - 0
CE Europa
EUR
46%
27%
27%
53 53 0 0
25 Feb. 2024
CER
Cerdanyola FC
1 - 1
Hércules
HER
25%
27%
48%
53 42 11 0
X