Copa Simón Bolívar . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Always Ready vs Industrial Avilés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INA
1 - 0
REA
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
6 - 0
SUC
85%
11%
3%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SUC
0 - 0
REA
8%
20%
73%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
REA
6 - 2
UDV
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
UDV
1 - 2
REA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Industrial Avilés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INA
1 - 0
REA
9%
21%
70%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
INA
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
INA
3 - 2
IND
9%
22%
70%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
2 - 4
INA
50%
21%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
INA
2 - 0
GRC
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |