FC Alverca vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 2
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
ALV
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 2
ALV
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |