FC Alverca vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
9º
3º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
UDR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
ALV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 3
ALV
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 0
ALV
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
GDF
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GDF
2 - 2
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
GDF
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 4
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |