FC Alverca vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ALV
3 - 3
PAÇ
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
FEI
2 - 0
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ALV
1 - 2
NAV
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EST
3 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GON
2 - 0
AVE
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
OLH
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
OVA
0 - 0
AVE
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |