Aluminij vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
40%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NSM
3 - 2
ALU
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
2 - 2
ALU
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 1
BRA
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
FCK
1 - 3
ALU
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TAS
4 - 0
ALU
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FCK
2 - 2
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 2
TAS
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
CEL
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |