Altrincham vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 2
ALT
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 0
HAL
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
ALT
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 4
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
GUL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
DAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
WRE
0 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
NUN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |