National League round 29

Altrincham vs Gateshead analysis

Altrincham Gateshead
47 ELO 54
2.8% Tilt 5.3%
3599º General ELO ranking 3905º
93º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
33.9%
Altrincham
27.2%
Draw
39%
Gateshead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
Altrincham
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39%
Win probability
Gateshead
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Altrincham
-24%
-25%
Gateshead

ELO progression

Altrincham
Gateshead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Altrincham
Altrincham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
0 - 0
Macclesfield Town
MAC
31%
25%
44%
47 52 5 0
20 Feb. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
43%
25%
32%
47 48 1 0
16 Feb. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
0 - 3
Chester
CHE
50%
24%
26%
48 46 2 -1
13 Feb. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
3 - 3
Lincoln City
LIN
38%
25%
37%
48 50 2 0
09 Feb. 2016
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 1
Wrexham AFC
WRE
34%
27%
39%
48 53 5 0

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
3 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
42%
27%
31%
55 52 3 0
02 Mar. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 3
FC Halifax Town
HAL
53%
23%
24%
54 52 2 +1
27 Feb. 2016
HAL
FC Halifax Town
0 - 0
Gateshead
GAT
45%
24%
30%
54 51 3 0
23 Feb. 2016
CHE
Cheltenham Town
0 - 0
Gateshead
GAT
52%
25%
23%
54 57 3 0
20 Feb. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 2
Aldershot Town
ALD
58%
23%
20%
54 50 4 0