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Conference. Matchday 33

Altrincham vs Dagenham & Redbridge analysis

Altrincham Dagenham & Redbridge
16 ELO 12
1% Tilt -4%
7399º General ELO ranking 7763º
704º Country ELO ranking 711º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Altrincham
26.7%
Draw
24.9%
Dagenham & Redbridge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Altrincham
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.9%
Win probability
Dagenham & Redbridge
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Altrincham
-1%
-16%
Dagenham & Redbridge

Basic stats

0
1
GF
1
0
GC
16
12
ELO
1.4
1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Altrincham
Their league position
Dagenham & Redbridge
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
22º
17º
60
11º
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sutton United
84
88
100%
Torquay United
80
84
100%
Stockport County
77
81
73%
Hartlepool United
76
80
66%
Notts County
70
74
28%
Chesterfield
69
73
27%
Bromley
69
73
27%
Wrexham
68
72
41%
Eastleigh
66
70
48%
FC Halifax Town
10º
65
69
10º
45%
Solihull Moors
11º
64
69
11º
35%
Dagenham & Redbridge
12º
60
63
12º
82%
Maidenhead United
13º
56
60
13º
66%
Boreham Wood
14º
55
59
14º
55%
Aldershot Town
15º
52
56
16º
46%
Yeovil Town
16º
52
56
15º
46%
Altrincham
17º
47
50
17º
100%
Weymouth
18º
39
42
18º
56%
Wealdstone
19º
37
40
20º
0%
Woking
20º
33
36
21º
0%
Kings Lynn Town
21º
31
34
22º
23%
Barnet
22º
31
34
23º
40%
Dover Athletic
23º
0
42
19º
8%
Expected probabilities
Altrincham
Dagenham & Redbridge
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Altrincham
ALT
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
Hartlepool United
HAR
Torquay United
GUL
Solihull Moors
SOL
Stockport County
STO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Altrincham
Altrincham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2021
THE
Woking
1 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
46%
27%
27%
224 176 -48 0
13 Mar. 2021
ALD
Aldershot Town
2 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
46%
27%
27%
225 222 -3 -1
09 Mar. 2021
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 1
Hartlepool United
HAR
46%
27%
27%
225 254 -29 0
02 Mar. 2021
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 0
Woking
THE
47%
27%
26%
224 176 48 +1
27 Feb. 2021
BRO
Bromley
3 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
46%
27%
27%
225 219 -6 -1

Matches

Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham & Redbridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO DAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2021
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
1 - 1
Weymouth
THE
46%
27%
27%
181 214 -33 0
11 May. 2021
STO
Stockport County
1 - 1
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
49%
26%
25%
181 294 113 0
09 Mar. 2021
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 1
Maidenhead United
MAI
46%
27%
27%
181 210 -29 +1
06 Mar. 2021
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
2 - 2
Boreham Wood
BOR
44%
27%
29%
180 289 -109 0
02 Mar. 2021
SOL
Solihull Moors
0 - 1
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
47%
27%
26%
180 258 78 +1