Altrincham vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 3
ALT
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 2
ALT
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 1
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WOK
1 - 1
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 1
YOR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 2
DAR
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHO
3 - 0
CUR
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 2
BLY
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 3
CUR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |