Altos vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALT
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 0
PIC
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
ALT
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
JCA
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
SIN
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 3
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |