Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
5 - 0
ALT
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 1
SAM
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
ALT
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
TIR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
ALT
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
4DE
85%
12%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 0
CON
13%
20%
67%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |