Alto Ara vs CD Castejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alto Ara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LAL
2 - 1
AAR
65%
19%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RCD
3 - 2
AAR
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AAR
2 - 0
AGU
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AAR
3 - 3
HSD
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 0
AAR
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CD Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 1
AGU
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 0
CDM
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HSD
1 - 1
CDC
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
SJO
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
TEM
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |