Alfter vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 3
DUR
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 1
ALT
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 4
PES
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
VFL
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
H05
6 - 0
PES
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BGP
0 - 4
H05
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
H05
3 - 2
SVB
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
WES
1 - 4
H05
7%
15%
79%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
H05
0 - 0
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |