Austrian Bundesliga Normal Season Round 15

SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz analysis

SCR Altach Sturm Graz
71 ELO 81
-7.1% Tilt 3.4%
693º General ELO ranking 568º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.5%
SCR Altach
23.6%
Draw
56.8%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
SCR Altach
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.8%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SCR Altach
-2%
+7%
Sturm Graz

Points and table prediction

SCR Altach
Their league position
Sturm Graz
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
12º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Salzburg
55
55
100%
Sturm Graz
48
48
100%
LASK
38
38
100%
Austria Wien
32
35
100%
Rapid Wien
33
33
100%
Austria Klagenfurt
30
30
100%
WSG Tirol
28
28
100%
Austria Lustenau
27
27
100%
Wolfsberger AC
21
21
100%
SV Ried
11º
18
18
10º
0%
TSV Hartberg
10º
18
18
11º
0%
SCR Altach
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SCR Altach
SCR Altach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2022
AUS
Austria Wien
2 - 1
SCR Altach
ALT
63%
21%
16%
72 80 8 0
23 Oct. 2022
WOL
Wolfsberger AC
2 - 3
SCR Altach
ALT
68%
19%
13%
71 82 11 +1
16 Oct. 2022
ALT
SCR Altach
1 - 0
TSV Hartberg
HAR
25%
25%
50%
70 77 7 +1
08 Oct. 2022
ALT
SCR Altach
2 - 3
Salzburg
RBS
16%
21%
62%
70 82 12 0
02 Oct. 2022
RIE
SV Ried
2 - 3
SCR Altach
ALT
53%
25%
22%
70 75 5 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2022
MID
Midtjylland
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
47%
23%
30%
82 83 1 0
30 Oct. 2022
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 1
SV Ried
RIE
55%
24%
22%
82 76 6 0
27 Oct. 2022
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
22%
22%
56%
82 87 5 0
22 Oct. 2022
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
49%
23%
28%
82 82 0 0
19 Oct. 2022
GRA
Grazer AK
0 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
16%
20%
64%
82 63 19 0