Alresford Town vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
81%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alresford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 3
POR
5%
12%
83%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 1
BRO
6%
12%
82%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BOU
3 - 1
ALR
91%
7%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 3
HAM
4%
12%
84%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 2
BLA
13%
17%
70%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEM
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 1
POR
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
COW
59%
19%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
4 - 0
PAG
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BRO
3 - 2
PAG
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |