Alpendorada vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
43
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALP
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
ALP
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
GON
15%
24%
61%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
5 - 4
ALP
80%
15%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |