Alpendorada vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
75.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 4
BMA
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALP
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
LEC
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 2
RES
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |