Almonte vs Isla Cristina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 0
ALM
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
4 - 0
THA
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SRL
1 - 4
ALM
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
4 - 1
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2006 |
CAN
2 - 2
ALM
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Isla Cristina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ICR
1 - 0
OVA
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
THA
1 - 1
ICR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ICR
1 - 1
SRL
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 2
ICR
26%
24%
49%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ICR
2 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |