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Eerste Klasse Zat.. Matchday 22

Almkerk vs Roda'46 analysis

Almkerk Roda'46
6 ELO 5
-29% Tilt -9%
12352º General ELO ranking 12551º
302º Country ELO ranking 309º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Almkerk
31.6%
Draw
32.9%
Roda'46

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
Almkerk
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
32.9%
Win probability
Roda'46
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almkerk
+19%
-11%
Roda'46

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Breukelen
62
62
100%
LRC
60
60
100%
ARC Alphense
50
50
100%
VVZ .49
49
49
100%
SVL
42
42
50%
Zuidvogels
42
42
50%
Eemdijk
38
38
100%
De Meern Zaterdag
32
32
100%
Roda'46
29
29
100%
ASC Nieuwland
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Almkerk
11º
22
22
11º
100%
Nivo Sparta
12º
21
21
12º
50%
CSW
13º
21
21
13º
50%
Leerdam Sport '55
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Almkerk
Roda'46
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Roda'46
ROD
Almkerk
ALM
CSW
CSW
VVZ .49
VVZ
ASC Nieuwland
ASC
Eemdijk
EEM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almkerk
Almkerk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2014
NIV
Nivo Sparta
2 - 4
Almkerk
ALM
45%
27%
28%
110 126 16 +1
15 Mar. 2014
ALM
Almkerk
2 - 2
ASC Nieuwland
ASC
46%
27%
27%
110 127 -17 0
08 Mar. 2014
DMZ
De Meern Zaterdag
5 - 0
Almkerk
ALM
45%
27%
28%
111 129 18 -1
22 Feb. 2014
ALM
Almkerk
1 - 2
ARC Alphense
ARC
44%
27%
29%
112 201 -89 -1
15 Feb. 2014
SVL
SVL
2 - 2
Almkerk
ALM
45%
27%
28%
112 124 12 0

Matches

Roda'46
Roda'46
1%
X%
2%
ELO ROD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2014
ROD
Roda'46
0 - 4
ARC Alphense
ARC
41%
28%
31%
96 202 -106 -1
22 Mar. 2014
ASC
ASC Nieuwland
3 - 1
Roda'46
ROD
45%
27%
28%
97 127 30 -1
08 Mar. 2014
ZUI
Zuidvogels
0 - 1
Roda'46
ROD
45%
27%
28%
96 117 21 +1
22 Feb. 2014
ROD
Roda'46
3 - 1
Leerdam Sport '55
LES
46%
27%
28%
95 123 -28 +1
15 Feb. 2014
EEM
Eemdijk
2 - 1
Roda'46
ROD
45%
27%
28%
96 127 31 -1