Almirante Brown vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
ALM
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
VSC
69%
21%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
ALM
29%
30%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALM
3 - 0
SMG
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
JJU
2 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARQ
0 - 3
FEN
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UAI
1 - 1
ARQ
66%
21%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ARQ
1 - 1
TAL
30%
27%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CAD
2 - 0
ARQ
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
ARQ
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |