Almería vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 1
ALM
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALM
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 4
ALM
32%
27%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
XER
0 - 0
VIL
21%
27%
53%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
VIL
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALC
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |