Almería vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALM
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HOS
1 - 4
ALM
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
3 - 1
MAL
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALM
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
OVI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
PON
6%
17%
77%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PON
0 - 0
UDL
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 2
PON
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |