Almería vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 2
VAD
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
XER
3 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 1
POL
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CIU
0 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 1
MUR
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 1
PON
70%
20%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PON
3 - 3
VEC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
RMC
3 - 1
PON
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PON
2 - 2
MAL
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |