Almería vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
OVI
1 - 2
ALM
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
8 - 0
ALM
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
EXT
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 2
ALM
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 2
UDL
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OSA
1 - 0
LUG
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
CCF
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |