Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 1-4
Almería vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALM
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
PON
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALM
28%
28%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
VAD
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
CEL
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 5
VCF
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RSO
2 - 3
CEL
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 3
RMA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |